Edwards beating Nate Diaz is one of the safest bets on the card, barring some crazy upset for which there is no real basis for believing in beyond the power of Diaz bros. The top three bouts on the card are all tilted in one direction, and with good reason. The All-Favorites-All-The-Time Parlay: Adesanya (-275) + Deiveson Figueiredo (-225) + Leon Edwards (-500) Sadly, I can’t envision a likely scenario where Maia pulls this one out. I think there’s even a decent chance Muhammad might finish him with strikes (+280 odds on that, btw). But I must admit his best days are behind him and here he has a capable opponent who’s savvy enough to outpoint him while staying completely out of the tar pit that is his ground game. He’s one of the most successful jiu-jitsu guys to ever do it in the UFC, and one of the greatest Brazilian fighters the sport has ever known (which is really saying something). I’ve got a lot of love for Maia, both as a person and as a fighter. The Safe Bet That Makes Me Sad: Belal Muhammad def. I wouldn’t throw big money down here, but maybe a couple bucks you wouldn’t mind losing just in case.īelal Muhammad has not lost in his last five bouts. But if Craig were to win this fight, it would almost certainly be via Hail Mary submission, which is something he has a real talent for.
#Ufc 263 play by play pro#
One thing we know about Craig is that he doesn’t see the scorecards very often (as in, only once in his entire pro career). If you’re feeling that outcome, you can get +110 odds on Hill by KO/TKO, or -125 odds on Hill via any kind of finish. And really? He should probably lose badly, via one-sided destruction that ends with a knockout at the very capable hands of Hill. I’ll level with you here, Craig should lose this fight. Jamahal Hill via KO, TKO, DQ, or submission (+400) The Bigger (And Riskier) Underdog Play: Paul Craig def. If you want to play it a little safer, you could always take the slightly worse odds on the fight going the distance (-135), but for this match-up I feel pretty good about the underdog odds on Adesanya winning on the scorecards. But I also don’t think he’ll find a way to finish Adesanya, and I don’t think he can take and/or keep Adesanya down enough to win a five-round fight on the scorecards. Do I think Vettori puts up a good fight here? Yes. In that case, I would invite you to consider the fact that a) Vettori has never been knocked out in a pro MMA bout, and b) Adesanya has more decision wins than wins of any other variety in his UFC tenure. Say you think that the champ’s got this one in the bag, but you don’t love the -275 odds on a straight up Adesanya victory. The Little Underdog Play: Israel Adesanya def.
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